Source-Labeled Buyer Intelligence
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Met-Ed (FirstEnergy) implemented a Price to Compare increase to 12.965¢/kWh through May 31, 2026, driven by higher PJM capacity auction clearing prices.
Duquesne Light default service supply rates increased to 13.75¢/kWh for the current period. Higher wholesale capacity/generation costs are cited for the Pittsburgh-area hike.
Chicago Citygate basis running above Henry Hub. IL and MI commercial buyers facing higher delivered costs. Nicor Gas and Peoples Gas territories most affected.
PA remains the most competitive gas choice market with Columbia Gas, PECO Gas, and UGI territories all fully open. Commercial buyers can lock sub-$0.95/therm fixed rates.
Georgia natural gas market fully deregulated under AGLC. Atlanta Gas Light serves as distribution-only utility. 10+ certified marketers competing for commercial load.
Pipeline constraints into New England drove delivered gas costs well above Henry Hub. CT, MA, NY, and NJ commercial buyers saw delivery charges spike during the cold snap.
The EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook expects dry natural gas production to increase by an average of 2 Bcf/day (2%) in 2026, relieving supply constraints in Q3/Q4.
EIA storage at 2,070 Bcf, which is 123 Bcf (5.6%) below the five-year average. Recent net withdrawals of 144 Bcf/wk signal tightening supply buffer.
EIA projects natural gas prices to nearly double from 2024 lows ($2.20/MMBtu) driven by LNG export growth and colder winters. Commercial buyers should evaluate fixed-rate contracts before winter 2025.
Residential and commercial gas consumption surged 11.9% in Q1 2025 vs 2024. Storage inventories swung from surplus to deficit. This pattern signals higher winter costs ahead.
Weekly EIA storage report shows 85% capacity heading into the 2025-2026 heating season. While adequate, it leaves limited buffer against a severe winter scenario or production freeze-offs.
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