🏛️ Capital Market DynamicsFebruary 22, 2026

Washington DC Electricity Procurement: Federal and Commercial Impacts

Compiled by EnergyForge Intelligence. Updated February 22, 2026.

In 2026, Washington D.C. electricity costs are defined by the convergence of massive PJM Capacity Auction spikes (+800%) flowing through Pepco delivery tariffs, and aggressive federal mandates (EO 14057) swallowing regional renewable supply. Commercial properties must secure competitive third-party supply immediately and execute peak-load shaving (PLC) to dodge catastrophic capacity pass-throughs.

Executive Impact

  • →The Capacity Shock: The PJM Base Residual Auction cleared at levels roughly 800% higher than previous years. Because D.C. operates as a deregulated market within PJM, this capacity cost is a direct, unavoidable pass-through applied to every commercial Pepco customer based on their Peak Load Contribution (PLC) tag.
  • →The Federal Vacuum: The Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) Energy and GSA are aggressively procuring 24/7 Carbon Pollution-Free Electricity (CFE) for federal buildings across the D.C. footprint to meet 2030 mandates. This massive, price-inelastic buyer is effectively vacuuming up localized renewable energy credits (RECs), driving scarcity premiums for private commercial buyers attempting to meet their own ESG goals.
  • →Pepco Defense Strategy: While standard utility rates (Standard Offer Service) will absorb the full brunt of market inflation, commercial properties have the legal right to secure third-party supply. Sophisticated buyers separate their energy commodity procurement from their capacity obligations in their retail contracts to maximize control.
Market Framework
Deregulated
PJM Grid
Pepco Delivery
Fully competitive supply
Capacity Risk
+800%
PJM Auction
Massive Increase
Clearing 2025/2026
Carbon Mandate
100%
Federal Scope 2
By 2030
Executive Order 14057

Managing Peak Load Contribution (PLC)

In the PJM territory, your facility's financial exposure to the 800% capacity price spike is generated by entirely past behavior: your consumption during the five hottest hours of the grid's previous summer. This is called your Peak Load Contribution (PLC) tag.

  • The Accounting Mechanism: A facility that uses 50,000 kWh a month, but happens to run all its chillers and equipment at 100% physically during those exact five grid-stress hours in July and August, will receive a massive PLC tag. They will pay enormous capacity surcharges disguised within their 2026/2027 Pepco bills.
  • The Mitigation Strategy (Coincident Peak Shaving): Large commercial properties (hotels, office towers, hospitals) must subscribe to predictive grid alerts. When PJM forecasts extreme heat, the facility's Building Management System (BMS) must proactively pre-cool the building, then dial back HVAC chillers and shut down non-essential elevators precisely during those crucial afternoon hours to structurally lower the subsequent year's PLC tag.
  • Contract Structures: If an organization successfully implements PLC management, they must ensure their retail energy contract is set up as a "Pass-Through Capacity" product rather than a "Fixed All-Inclusive" product. In a fixed contract, the retail supplier pockets the savings from the facility's load-shaving efforts.

The Impact of BEPS (Building Energy Performance Standards)

Simultaneous to procurement distress, D.C. commercial real estate owners are facing the District's aggressive Building Energy Performance Standards (BEPS). Buildings failing to meet minimum Energy Star scores or Site Energy Use Intensity (EUI) metrics face massive statutory fines. This is forcing capital upgrades—LED retrofits, VFD fan installations, and automated controls—that fortunately also possess the secondary benefit of lowering overall exposure to the PJM capacity spikes.