🟠 Warning — Southeast Regulated MarketFebruary 22, 2026

Duke Energy Carolinas Proposes 16.2% Rate Hike for Commercial & Industrial Buyers

Compiled by EnergyForge Intelligence. Updated February 22, 2026.

Duke Energy Carolinas (DEC) has formally filed a comprehensive multi-year rate case with the North Carolina Utilities Commission (NCUC) seeking to enact a staggering 16.2% average base rate increase for its commercial and industrial (C&I) customer classes. The utility cites the mounting costs of retiring its remaining coal fleet and modernizing grid infrastructure to handle massive load growth as the primary drivers of this historic request.

Executive Impact

  • →Monopoly Trap: Because North and South Carolina are regulated markets, large manufacturing and commercial facilities cannot shop for alternative retail suppliers to bypass this hike.
  • →Cost Allocation: While residential rates are also rising, the proposed tariff adjustments place a disproportionate burden on the Demand (kW) charges levied against heavy industrial operators.
  • →Renewable Carve-outs: Duke\'s Green Source Advantage (GSA) program offers an alternative for corporate sustainability buyers, but comes at a premium relative to standard system mix power.
Market Status
Regulated
Monopoly
No choice
NC/SC Territory
Proposed Increase
~16.2%
C&I Base Rate
Review Phase
Duke Energy Carolinas
EIA State Avg (NC)
8.76¢
/ kWh
Commercial
Historical 2025

The Price of the Energy Transition

Duke Energy Carolinas, which governs the largest utility territory across the Carolinas, is undergoing a massive, multi-billion-dollar transition away from its legacy coal-fired generation fleet toward a mix of natural gas, solar, and next-generation nuclear.

The cost of shutting down those coal assets prematurely—combined with necessary transmission upgrades to connect distributed solar resources—is now landing squarely on the balance sheets of North Carolina and South Carolina businesses. The filed multi-year rate plan (MYRP) would front-load the most severe hikes, with a 16.2% C&I base rate impact projected if the utility commission grants the requested Return on Equity (ROE).

Demand Charges (kW) Under Fire

For large energy users, such as continuous manufacturing plants and large-scale agricultural operations, the gross kWh usage isn\'t the primary threat—it\'s the Demand Charge (kW).

A critical detail buried in Duke Energy\'s filing is an aggressive restructuring of how peak demand is penalized. Under the proposed Time-of-Use (TOU) and coincident peak frameworks, unmanaged capacity spikes during the critical summer hours (2 PM – 6 PM) will carry exponentially higher penalties. Regulated monopolies frequently employ this tactic to flatten the grid curve without explicitly labeling it a punitive tax on industry.

Corporate Strategy Without Retail Choice

In deregulated markets like PJM or ERCOT, an impending 16% utility rate hike would immediately trigger companies to sign long-term fixed retail supply contracts with third-party providers. In the Carolinas, that avenue is legally barred.

To mitigate these incoming DEC costs, facilities must rely purely on engineering and intervention:

  • Tariff Optimization: Engaging a third-party auditor to run concurrent load profile analyses against Duke\'s proposed rate schedules to ensure the facility isn\'t defaulted into a punitive rate class.
  • On-Site Resiliency: Implementing heavy capital expenditure (CapEx) projects, such as behind-the-meter battery energy storage systems (BESS) or cogeneration, to physically sever load from the grid during high-cost intervals.
  • The Green Source Advantage: For Fortune 500s mandating Scope 2 emissions reductions, participating in Duke\'s Green Source Advantage (GSA) program offers dedicated renewable blocks, though historically, these programs do not offer cost-parity with standard system power.

Source: North Carolina Utilities Commission (NCUC) Filings, U.S. Energy Information Administration.